{"id":166619,"date":"2022-05-11T16:05:10","date_gmt":"2022-05-11T19:05:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gay.blog.br\/?p=166619"},"modified":"2022-06-05T12:47:23","modified_gmt":"2022-06-05T15:47:23","slug":"por-que-los-inversores-se-estan-alejando-de-jair-bolsonaro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gay.blog.br\/es\/colunistas\/bixa-rica\/por-que-los-inversores-se-estan-alejando-de-jair-bolsonaro\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 los inversores se est\u00e1n alejando de Jair Bolsonaro?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Con la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales prevista para el 2 de octubre, el mercado financiero y los inversores ya se decantan por los escenarios de los dos precandidatos mejor posicionados en el ranking de las encuestas de popularidad: Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/strong> (PT) y Jair Bolsonaro<\/strong> (PL).<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan el Monitor Mercantil<\/a>, la econom\u00eda en el gobierno de Bolsonaro fue la peor en cuatro d\u00e9cadas. \u00abEntre m\u00e1s de 170 pa\u00edses, s\u00f3lo Myanmar y Guinea Ecuatorial tendr\u00e1n un desempe\u00f1o m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil que Brasil. Se prev\u00e9 que el PIB brasile\u00f1o crezca un 0,5% este a\u00f1o en comparaci\u00f3n con el anterior. El resultado es 1,7 puntos porcentuales menos que lo previsto por la ONU para Brasil en el informe anterior\u00bb.<\/em> dice el art\u00edculo.<\/p>\n

El economista Ant\u00f4nio Delfim Netto concedi\u00f3 una entrevista a Isto \u00c9 Dinheiro<\/a> y defini\u00f3 la econom\u00eda bajo Bolsonaro como \u00ablamentable y mediocre\u00bb. \u00abLa inflaci\u00f3n ha empeorado dr\u00e1sticamente. Tom\u00f3 el pa\u00eds con una inflaci\u00f3n del 4% y lo entregar\u00e1 con una inflaci\u00f3n del 10%. La deuda p\u00fablica federal ya supera los 5,5 billones de reales y sigue creciendo. Se trata de una enorme carga para el pa\u00eds y ser\u00e1 un gran obst\u00e1culo para el pr\u00f3ximo gobierno (…) El gobierno no tiene un proyecto bien armado. Bolsonaro no sabe d\u00f3nde est\u00e1 y a d\u00f3nde quiere ir. Las pol\u00edticas han sido aleatorias\u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n

En este contexto, varios especialistas se\u00f1alan que, para la econom\u00eda, el peor escenario ser\u00eda que el candidato del Partido Liberal (PL) permaneciera. Seg\u00fan el economista Ma\u00edlson da Nobrega<\/strong>, al ser interrogado por el canal E-Investidor<\/a> sobre qu\u00e9 presidente ser\u00eda m\u00e1s perjudicial para el mercado financiero, respondi\u00f3 categ\u00f3ricamente.<\/p>\n

\u00abLa permanencia de Bolsonaro, porque el mercado ya aprendi\u00f3 que el presidente es un causante de inestabilidad\u00bb<\/em>, dijo N\u00f3brega<\/strong>. \u00abLas personas mayores del mercado conocen a Lula y saben que es un pol\u00edtico pragm\u00e1tico. Sin embargo, como est\u00e1 teniendo un mal discurso, prometiendo desechar el techo de gasto, por ejemplo, esto tambi\u00e9n asusta a los inversores con la idea de un nuevo mandato<\/em>\u00ab, continua<\/p>\n

\u00abAun as\u00ed, creo que Lula dar\u00eda muchas se\u00f1ales al mercado, porque tiene experiencia de gobierno y sabe que no puede iniciar una gesti\u00f3n con una crisis de confianza en el mercado financiero. Lo aprendi\u00f3 en 2002, cuando apoy\u00f3 la propuesta de Fernando Henrique de llegar a un acuerdo con el FMI. No tengo una bola de cristal, pero apuesto a que el mercado preferir\u00e1 a Lula antes que a Bolsonaro si s\u00f3lo hay estas dos opciones\u00bb<\/em>, finaliza N\u00f3brega<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

InvestNews<\/a>, por su parte, pidi\u00f3 a economistas, analistas y agentes del mercado su opini\u00f3n sobre lo que podr\u00eda ocurrir en el mercado financiero en caso de victoria de Lula o Bolsonaro, mostrando un gr\u00e1fico con sus opiniones sobre ambos.<\/p>\n

\"bolsonaro
Reproducci\u00f3n\/Investnews<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

En este escenario, el ex presidente Lula se reuni\u00f3 con el fundador y director general de XP Investimentos<\/a>, Guilherme Benchimol<\/strong>, en S\u00e3o Paulo. El presidente se est\u00e1 moviendo para recabar apoyos a su candidatura a la presidencia y est\u00e1 tratando de reducir la resistencia a su nombre entre la comunidad empresarial y el sector financiero.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan dijo el columnista pol\u00edtico Guilherme Amado<\/strong> al canal Metr\u00f3polis<\/a>, el encuentro entre ambos, junto con la encuesta del Ipespe encargada por XP Investimentos que indica la victoria de Lula en primera y segunda vuelta, disgust\u00f3 al sector bolsonarista.<\/p>\n

\u00abEsta semana, d\u00edas antes de la divulgaci\u00f3n de la \u00faltima ronda de la encuesta, este viernes (6\/5), un importante empresario del sector textil hizo saber que hab\u00eda cancelado su cuenta en la casa de bolsa. Llam\u00f3 a su corredor y dijo que hab\u00eda perdido la confianza en XP, \u00abcomo hab\u00eda perdido la confianza en Folha y Globo\u00bb, en referencia a los veh\u00edculos de prensa que hacen una cobertura de noticias con la que no est\u00e1 de acuerdo\u00bb<\/em>, el columnista dijo.<\/p>\n

\u00abEn XP, la orientaci\u00f3n es mantener la confianza en la calidad t\u00e9cnica de la investigaci\u00f3n realizada por el Ipespe, por Ant\u00f4nio Lavareda, un respetado polit\u00f3logo. Y la empresa dice ver con naturalidad la salida de clientes, en medio de 3,5 millones de personas vinculadas a la marca\u00bb<\/em>, finaliza Amado.<\/p>\n

El objetivo principal de la Columna Bixa Rica<\/a> es llevar informaci\u00f3n sobre temas importantes que marcan la diferencia en nuestras vidas, ya no podemos cerrar los ojos a la realidad del pa\u00eds. Hoy en d\u00eda, hablar y entender de pol\u00edtica ya no es una opci\u00f3n, ha sido nuestro mayor defecto y nuestra principal necesidad. Cuanta m\u00e1s informaci\u00f3n tengamos, mejor. Esa batalla s\u00f3lo se ganar\u00e1 con el conocimiento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A diferencia de las \u00faltimas elecciones, en las que el actual presidente era el favorito casi un\u00e1nime del mercado financiero, hoy las opiniones est\u00e1n divididas entre los dos principales candidatos<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3610,"featured_media":164572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAoiEBg-BXrJeACjO8p49SE4kTY:productID":"","tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 los inversores se est\u00e1n alejando de Jair 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